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Market outlook: More modest rates of rental growth ahead

Writer: Conrad BindingConrad Binding


  • After a few years of high rental growth being the norm, rental growth rates on achieved new market lets are slowing. This slowdown in happening more quickly in some markets than others.

  • Affordability remains critical and limits potential future growth where stretched. For instance, in London, affordability now sits just above 32% and rental growth has slowed to 1.7% from 9.0% this time last year.

  • Other indicators which help gauge how the market is changing are those which give insight on demand and supply levels: RICS data on these shows more normalised levels than evident over the last few years, particularly for demand.

  • As such rental growth is forecast to revert to more typical levels, with average annual growth of 3.4% expected over the next 5 years.

  • With less pressure in the market, there might well be higher rental turnover: with such tight market conditions over the last few years many renters opted to sit tight renew rather than move. Source: Dataloft by PriceHubble, RICS, Consensus Forecast across agents at at February 2025

 
 
 

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